The wild card round of the NFL playoffs may not have quite lived up to its name—in every matchup save for the Washington Commanders–Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Greif: Philadelphia will beat Washington in the NFC because the Commanders’ defense has been leaky (allowing 25.5 points per game in the postseason, 9.5 more than Philadelphia), while the Eagles have ranked among the league’s elite defenses all season; by one metric, they stand tied for the league lead in allowing the lowest success rate.