And, while most pollsters had predicted a narrowing margin between Harris and Trump in the popular vote, almost all showed ...

Trump swept to victory, winning 295 Electoral College votes so far, but Harris had been predicted to win by almost every ...

“Unlike Nate Silver, who will try to squirm out of why he didn’t ... He certainly was not predicting a Trump Electoral College landslide,” Lichtman wrote on X. “And he said don’t trust my gut. So once ...

The founder of Aaru told Semafor that despite getting most predictions wrong, its model still “did well” and is faster and ...

When I say the odds in this year’s presidential race are about as close as you can possibly get to 50/50, I’m not ...

The pollster released a long blog post detailing why Trump won and took down his election model, which had predicted a Harris win.

Is Donald Trump going to lose Iowa? That’s the conclusion many US pundits came to after a bombshell poll over the weekend.

The model projected Vice President Kamala Harris as the likely winner despite her falling behind in vote counts ...

Nate Silver’s model continued to show Kamala Harris with a slight lead in potentially being elected president, even as the ...

Up-to-the-minute coverage on the presidential and congressional races and how they stand to shape crypto legislation and ...

Who's winning the latest 2024 U.S. presidential election polls? Current poll results ahead of Election Day 2024 in Nevada.

When Nate Silver says the election is "closer than a coin flip," he's basing it on hard numbers — heads empirically win 50.5 ...