A broad area of low pressure could form by early next week over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form as the system moves slowly to the north or northwest and into the southern Gulf of Mexico through the middle part of next week.

The chance of tropical development next week from the western Caribbean to the Gulf of Mexico has increased. The National Hurricane Center now has a 30% chance of development over the next 7 days.