The chance of tropical development next week from the western Caribbean to the Gulf of Mexico has increased. The National Hurricane Center now has a 30% chance of development over the next 7 days.

The National Hurricane Center gives the western Caribbean and southern Gulf a 40% chance of developing into at least a tropical depression.

Forecast models continue to advertise slow tropical development beginning next week across the northwestern Caribbean, with a system that could pivot into the southern Gulf of Mexico by the middle to latter part of the week.